Bernard Tomic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Nikoloz Basilashvili recently outperformed Bernard Tomic in second serve points, winning 47.23% compared to Tomic's 46.00%. Does this give Basilashvili an edge? It seems so, given the correlation to match outcomes.
• Analyzing return game stats, Basilashvili again has a slight edge by winning 46.80% of opponents' second serve points over Tomic's 45.02%.
• However, Tomic leads in first serve returns, achieving 24.80% to Basilashvili's 23.38%—could this be a deciding factor?
• When under pressure, Tomic exhibits stronger performance, having saved 54.73% of breakpoints over Basilashvili's 50.30%.
• Looking at yearly performance, Basilashvili holds a marginal advantage, winning 57.69% of matches, whereas Tomic has 56.25%.
• On preferred surfaces, Tomic is more successful on Hard courts with a 62% win rate, while Basilashvili excels on Clay with a 56% win rate.
• Between challenges and ITF tournaments, both players have comparable records, though Tomic slightly edges out with a 56.45% win rate.
• In direct head-to-head matches, they are evenly matched, each with a win; however, Tomic leads in sets won, 3 to 2.
• Importantly, Tomic triumphed in their latest encounter on a Hard court with a decisive score of 6-1, 6-0, suggesting potential dominance on this surface.
• The average opponent ranking faced by Basilashvili (198.36) is stronger compared to Tomic's (289.51), indicating Basilashvili has faced stiffer competition.
• When matches progress to a deciding set, Basilashvili has a slight edge, winning 57% compared to Tomic's 55% over the past year.
• Performance at the current event could shift predictions, so it's crucial to consider any matches they play before this encounter.

Editorial Prediction (September 29, 2025, UTC):

Nikoloz Basilashvili and Bernard Tomic are closely matched heading into their upcoming battle. Both have displayed similar strengths and weaknesses in recent form, with slight advantages that could swing either way.

Tomic's commanding recent victory over Basilashvili on a similar surface may suggest he holds an advantage in this specialized context. However, Basilashvili's ability to overcome stronger opponents and his marginally better performance on deciding sets could be decisive factors.

Taking all considerations into account, Tomic's recent form and superior pressure performance under match conditions narrowly place him as the favorite to win this impending clash.